March 10 Bubble Update

Here's a general snapshot of where things stand as of 4pm EST.  A full ranking and breakdown of the bubble will be coming at the conclusion of tonight's games.

I believe Long Beach State would be right on the bubble with a loss tonight, which leaves 2 more potential bid stealers (UC Santa Barbara and St. Bonaventure).


Projected Automatic Bids (the auto bid in every remaining conference tournament goes to the highest remaining seed)

North Carolina, Cincinnati, Michigan State, Missouri, Arizona, Kentucky, San Diego State, St. Louis, St. Mary's, Creighton, Memphis, Harvard, Murray State, Loyola-Maryland, Vermont, Belmont, Montana, UNC Asheville, Long Beach State, VCU, Detroit, Akron, Norfolk State, Long Island, Lehigh, Davidson, Lamar, South Dakota State, Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, Mississippi Valley State

At-large locks (24 at-large bids)

Duke, Florida State, Syracuse, Georgetown, Louisville, Notre Dame, Marquette, Ohio State, Indiana, Michigan, Wisconsin, Purdue, Kansas, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Florida, Vanderbilt, Alabama, UNLV, New Mexico, Temple, Gonzaga, Wichita State

Teams that look Safe (6 at-large bids)

Virginia, Connecticut, Texas, California, Southern Miss, Brigham Young

Bubble (10/11 teams for 7 bids)

NC State, West Virginia, South Florida, Seton Hall, Washington, Mississippi State, Ole Miss (with a win vs Vanderbilt), Colorado State, Xavier, Drexel, Iona

At-large Longshots

Northwestern, Miami (FL), Arizona/Colorado loser, Oregon, Tennessee, Ole Miss (with a loss vs Vanderbilt), Middle Tennessee, Oral Roberts, Marshall