Monday, December 26, 2011

Projections for 12/26

First Four Out:  Oklahoma, Oregon State, Northwestern, Brigham Young

Next Four Out:  St. Joseph's, Washington, Southern Miss, Texas A&M

Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 Kentucky
16 Lamar vs Mississippi Valley State

8 Virginia
9 Temple

5 Indiana
12 Virginia Tech vs Marshall

13 Long Beach State

6 Alabama
11 Harvard

3 Connecticut
14 New Mexico State

7 Purdue
10 Wichita State

2 Missouri
15 Lehigh

West (#4 Overall)

1 North Carolina
16 Vermont vs Norfolk State

8 Creighton
9 Vanderbilt

5 Pittsburgh
12 San Diego State

4 Michigan State
13 Ohio

6 California
11 St. Mary's

3 Marquette
14 VCU

7 St. Louis
10 Illinois

2 Baylor
15 Wagner

East (#2 Overall)

1 Syracuse
16 Coastal Carolina

8 Arizona
9 Florida State

5 Michigan
12 Cincinnati vs Northern Iowa

4 Kansas
13 Iona

6 Xavier
11 New Mexico

3 Florida
14 Middle Tennessee

7 West Virginia
10 Murray State

2 Duke
15 Oral Roberts

South (#3 Overall)

1 Ohio State
16 Weber State

8 Kansas State
9 Memphis

5 Mississippi State
12 Minnesota

4 Georgetown
13 Belmont

6 Gonzaga
11 Seton Hall

3 Wisconsin
14 Cleveland State

7 Texas
10 Stanford

2 Louisville
15 Davidson


Anonymous said...

You don't have BYU in yet. They are as good as last year and will win the WCC....what gives? Check out Pomeroy on BYU

Rainmaker203 said...

The problem for BYU is that they've put themselves in a hole before even starting conference play. Right now their best wins are Oregon and Nevada, and they have a loss to Utah State. Forget the NCAAs, that's borderline for even making the NIT.

I think BYU has a good team this year, but so do Gonzaga and St. Mary's. Right now in kenpom, BYU is #20, St. Mary's is #27, Gonzaga is #29. That's nowhere close to being a significant difference. This early in the year, you can't take rankings like Pomeroy and Sagarin as gospel; there just hasn't been enough games played yet to create a large enough sample size for teams.

Based on seeing the teams play, BYU has looked like the 3rd best team in the WCC so far. With their weak OOC results, they won't be dancing if they finish 3rd.

If BYU does happen to win the WCC regular season (which is definitely possible), they will be in my bracket in March.