Midwest (#1 Overall)
Greensboro, NC
1 North Carolina
16 Radford
8 Marquette
9 Texas A&M
Portland, OR
5 UCLA
12 St. Mary's
4 Purdue
13 Stephen F. Austin
Miami, FL
6 Tennessee
11 Temple
3 Villanova
14 Akron
Kansas City, MO
7 Clemson
10 Wisconsin
2 Oklahoma
15 Morgan State
West (#4 Overall)
Philadelphia, PA
1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State
8 Oklahoma State
9 Boston College
Boise, ID
5 Gonzaga
12 Mississippi State
4 Washington
13 North Dakota State
Miami, FL
6 West Virginia
11 Southern Cal
3 Wake Forest
14 American
Kansas City, MO
7 Utah
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 East Tennessee State
East (#2 Overall)
Dayton, OH
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs Alabama State
8 Brigham Young
9 Michigan
Portland, OR
5 Arizona State
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 Virginia Commonwealth
Philadelphia, PA
6 Xavier
11 Maryland
3 Syracuse
14 Binghamton
Minneapolis, MN
7 Texas
10 Siena
2 Michigan State
15 Robert Morris
South (#3 Overall)
Dayton, OH
1 Louisville
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Butler
9 California
Boise, ID
5 Illinois
12 Cleveland State
4 Kansas
13 Northern Iowa
Minneapolis, MN
6 Ohio State
11 Utah State
3 Missouri
14 Portland State
Greensboro, NC
7 LSU
10 Dayton
2 Duke
15 Cornell
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Selection Sunday Predictions
I've assumed that the winners of tomorrows games will be Stephen F. Austin, Tennessee, Duke, and Purdue. I will post a final bracket in the afternoon if any upsets occur, or if I feel like I need to change something.
Midwest (#1 Overall)
Greensboro, NC
1 North Carolina
16 Radford
8 Marquette
9 Texas A&M
Portland, OR
5 UCLA
12 St. Mary's
4 Purdue
13 American
Miami, FL
6 Tennessee
11 Temple
3 Villanova
14 Akron
Kansas City, MO
7 Clemson
10 Wisconsin
2 Oklahoma
15 Morgan State
West (#4 Overall)
Philadelphia, PA
1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State
8 Oklahoma State
9 Boston College
Boise, ID
5 Gonzaga
12 San Diego State*
4 Washington
13 North Dakota State
Miami, FL
6 West Virginia
11 Southern Cal
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
Kansas City, MO
7 Utah
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 East Tennessee State
East (#2 Overall)
Dayton, OH
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs Alabama State
8 Brigham Young
9 Michigan
Portland, OR
5 Arizona State
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 Virginia Commonwealth
Philadelphia, PA
6 Xavier
11 Maryland
3 Syracuse
14 Binghamton
Minneapolis, MN
7 Texas
10 Siena
2 Michigan State
15 Robert Morris
South (#3 Overall)
Dayton, OH
1 Louisville
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Butler
9 California
Boise, ID
5 Illinois
12 Cleveland State
4 Kansas
13 Northern Iowa
Minneapolis, MN
6 Ohio State
11 Utah State
3 Missouri
14 Portland State
Greensboro, NC
7 LSU
10 Dayton
2 Duke
15 Cornell
*- Mississippi State will go here if they win tomorrow
Midwest (#1 Overall)
Greensboro, NC
1 North Carolina
16 Radford
8 Marquette
9 Texas A&M
Portland, OR
5 UCLA
12 St. Mary's
4 Purdue
13 American
Miami, FL
6 Tennessee
11 Temple
3 Villanova
14 Akron
Kansas City, MO
7 Clemson
10 Wisconsin
2 Oklahoma
15 Morgan State
West (#4 Overall)
Philadelphia, PA
1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State
8 Oklahoma State
9 Boston College
Boise, ID
5 Gonzaga
12 San Diego State*
4 Washington
13 North Dakota State
Miami, FL
6 West Virginia
11 Southern Cal
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
Kansas City, MO
7 Utah
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 East Tennessee State
East (#2 Overall)
Dayton, OH
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs Alabama State
8 Brigham Young
9 Michigan
Portland, OR
5 Arizona State
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 Virginia Commonwealth
Philadelphia, PA
6 Xavier
11 Maryland
3 Syracuse
14 Binghamton
Minneapolis, MN
7 Texas
10 Siena
2 Michigan State
15 Robert Morris
South (#3 Overall)
Dayton, OH
1 Louisville
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Butler
9 California
Boise, ID
5 Illinois
12 Cleveland State
4 Kansas
13 Northern Iowa
Minneapolis, MN
6 Ohio State
11 Utah State
3 Missouri
14 Portland State
Greensboro, NC
7 LSU
10 Dayton
2 Duke
15 Cornell
*- Mississippi State will go here if they win tomorrow
Final Bubble Update
Well, Selection Sunday is finally here folks. I believe there are 3 bids still available, and that there are 7 teams fighting for these 3 spots. I'd like to share my rankings of the 7 teams, and comment on why I think the teams will or won't get in.
1. Maryland
2. St. Mary's
-------------
3. San Diego State
-------------
4. Penn State
5. Creighton
6. Auburn
7. Arizona
-Maryland is the team I feel the best about. The Terps have alot of negatives on their resume (7-9 in ACC play, losses to Morgan State and Virginia, 6-9 road/neutral record, 8-11 vs Top 100 teams, RPI in the 50s), but the marquee wins over North Carolina, Michigan State, and Wake Forest show that they are capable of winning games in the tournament. I think that will ultimately allow them to sneak into the field.
-St. Mary's is the hardest team figure out because of the injury to Patty Mills. The San Diego State loss in the Mountain West finals was huge for them. St. Mary's beat the Aztecs on a neutral court in December, and since their resumes are so similar, it's hard to see the committee taking SDSU and not the Gaels.
-Penn State deserves an NCAA bid, but they'd be the 8th team from the Big 10, and regardless of what the committee says, I have a hard time believing that fact would not persuade some members to keep the Nittany Lions out of the field. Along the same lines, it would not surprise me at all to see Auburn in the field tomorrow despite not having an NCAA resume. Will the committee really give the SEC just 2 bids if Mississippi State loses tomorrow? We shall see.
-Creighton's situation is very similar to Illinois State from last year. ISU finished 2nd in the Valley and had an RPI in the 30s, but the lack of quality wins and blowout loss in the MVC tournament kept them out of the NCAA tournament. This year, Creighton got blown out by Illinois State in the semi's. Despite winning 11 of their last 12 and being an impressive 9-5 against the Top 100, their best wins were at home against Dayton and Illinois State. Based on last year's precedent, I just don't think they will make it.
-Arizona really shouldn't be in, but they're a big name school, have been to the tournament 24 years in a row, have 6 wins against Top 50 teams (including marquee wins over Kansas, UCLA, and Gonzaga, and a win over fellow bubble team SDSU), and have only 1 bad loss (@Stanford). With that much working in their favor, I'm not willing to declare them dead just yet.
1. Maryland
2. St. Mary's
-------------
3. San Diego State
-------------
4. Penn State
5. Creighton
6. Auburn
7. Arizona
-Maryland is the team I feel the best about. The Terps have alot of negatives on their resume (7-9 in ACC play, losses to Morgan State and Virginia, 6-9 road/neutral record, 8-11 vs Top 100 teams, RPI in the 50s), but the marquee wins over North Carolina, Michigan State, and Wake Forest show that they are capable of winning games in the tournament. I think that will ultimately allow them to sneak into the field.
-St. Mary's is the hardest team figure out because of the injury to Patty Mills. The San Diego State loss in the Mountain West finals was huge for them. St. Mary's beat the Aztecs on a neutral court in December, and since their resumes are so similar, it's hard to see the committee taking SDSU and not the Gaels.
-Penn State deserves an NCAA bid, but they'd be the 8th team from the Big 10, and regardless of what the committee says, I have a hard time believing that fact would not persuade some members to keep the Nittany Lions out of the field. Along the same lines, it would not surprise me at all to see Auburn in the field tomorrow despite not having an NCAA resume. Will the committee really give the SEC just 2 bids if Mississippi State loses tomorrow? We shall see.
-Creighton's situation is very similar to Illinois State from last year. ISU finished 2nd in the Valley and had an RPI in the 30s, but the lack of quality wins and blowout loss in the MVC tournament kept them out of the NCAA tournament. This year, Creighton got blown out by Illinois State in the semi's. Despite winning 11 of their last 12 and being an impressive 9-5 against the Top 100, their best wins were at home against Dayton and Illinois State. Based on last year's precedent, I just don't think they will make it.
-Arizona really shouldn't be in, but they're a big name school, have been to the tournament 24 years in a row, have 6 wins against Top 50 teams (including marquee wins over Kansas, UCLA, and Gonzaga, and a win over fellow bubble team SDSU), and have only 1 bad loss (@Stanford). With that much working in their favor, I'm not willing to declare them dead just yet.
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Projections for 3/14/09
I believe 31 of the 34 at-large spots have been locked up, with 6 teams playing for the last 3 spots, so I am just doing a "Last Three In" today.
Last Three In: Maryland, Penn State, St. Mary's
Last Three Out: Creighton, Auburn, Southern Cal
Midwest (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morehead State
8 Tennessee
9 Michigan
5 West Virginia
12 Northern Iowa
4 Arizona State
13 Cleveland State
6 Purdue
11 Temple
3 Villanova
14 Binghamton
7 Clemson
10 San Diego State
2 Oklahoma
15 Morgan State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Marquette
9 Texas A&M
5 Gonzaga
12 Maryland
4 Washington
13 North Dakota State
6 Utah
11 Penn State
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Texas
10 Siena
2 Connecticut
15 Cornell
East (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs Alabama State
8 Oklahoma State
9 California
5 Illinois
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 American
6 LSU
11 Minnesota
3 Missouri
14 Portland State
7 Brigham Young
10 Dayton
2 Memphis
15 East Tennessee State
South (#3 Overall)
1 Louisville
16 Radford
8 Ohio State
9 Boston College
5 UCLA
12 St. Mary's
4 Kansas
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Xavier
11 Utah State
3 Syracuse
14 Buffalo
7 Butler
10 Wisconsin
2 Duke
15 Robert Morris
Last Three In: Maryland, Penn State, St. Mary's
Last Three Out: Creighton, Auburn, Southern Cal
Midwest (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morehead State
8 Tennessee
9 Michigan
5 West Virginia
12 Northern Iowa
4 Arizona State
13 Cleveland State
6 Purdue
11 Temple
3 Villanova
14 Binghamton
7 Clemson
10 San Diego State
2 Oklahoma
15 Morgan State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Marquette
9 Texas A&M
5 Gonzaga
12 Maryland
4 Washington
13 North Dakota State
6 Utah
11 Penn State
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Texas
10 Siena
2 Connecticut
15 Cornell
East (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs Alabama State
8 Oklahoma State
9 California
5 Illinois
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 American
6 LSU
11 Minnesota
3 Missouri
14 Portland State
7 Brigham Young
10 Dayton
2 Memphis
15 East Tennessee State
South (#3 Overall)
1 Louisville
16 Radford
8 Ohio State
9 Boston College
5 UCLA
12 St. Mary's
4 Kansas
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Xavier
11 Utah State
3 Syracuse
14 Buffalo
7 Butler
10 Wisconsin
2 Duke
15 Robert Morris
Friday, March 13, 2009
Projections for 3/13/09
Last Four In: South Carolina, Creighton, San Diego State, Arizona
Last Four Out: St. Mary's, Florida, Virginia Tech, Auburn
Next Four Out: Maryland, Southern Cal, Providence, UNLV
Midwest (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Radford
8 Tennessee
9 Ohio State
5 Arizona State
12 Western Kentucky
4 Syracuse
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Purdue
11 Creighton
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Utah
10 Siena
2 Oklahoma
15 East Tennessee State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Butler
9 Boston College
5 Xavier
12 Arizona
4 Kansas
13 American
6 Texas
11 Utah State
3 Washington
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Clemson
10 Penn State
2 Connecticut
15 Morgan State
East (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs. Alabama State
8 California
9 Dayton
5 Illinois
12 Northern Iowa
4 Florida State
13 Cleveland State
6 Brigham Young
11 South Carolina
3 Missouri
14 Portland State
7 Marquette
10 Minnesota
2 Duke
15 Cornell
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Louisville
16 Morehead State
8 Oklahoma State
9 Wisconsin
5 UCLA
12 San Diego State
4 Gonzaga
13 North Dakota State
6 West Virginia
11 Texas A&M
3 Wake Forest
14 Binghamton
7 LSU
10 Michigan
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Last Four Out: St. Mary's, Florida, Virginia Tech, Auburn
Next Four Out: Maryland, Southern Cal, Providence, UNLV
Midwest (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Radford
8 Tennessee
9 Ohio State
5 Arizona State
12 Western Kentucky
4 Syracuse
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Purdue
11 Creighton
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Utah
10 Siena
2 Oklahoma
15 East Tennessee State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Butler
9 Boston College
5 Xavier
12 Arizona
4 Kansas
13 American
6 Texas
11 Utah State
3 Washington
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Clemson
10 Penn State
2 Connecticut
15 Morgan State
East (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs. Alabama State
8 California
9 Dayton
5 Illinois
12 Northern Iowa
4 Florida State
13 Cleveland State
6 Brigham Young
11 South Carolina
3 Missouri
14 Portland State
7 Marquette
10 Minnesota
2 Duke
15 Cornell
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Louisville
16 Morehead State
8 Oklahoma State
9 Wisconsin
5 UCLA
12 San Diego State
4 Gonzaga
13 North Dakota State
6 West Virginia
11 Texas A&M
3 Wake Forest
14 Binghamton
7 LSU
10 Michigan
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Bubble Update: 3/11/09
Now that the big boys are about to begin conference tournaments, it seems like the appropriate time to see where everyone stands.
Projected Automatic Bids:
North Carolina, Louisville, Michigan State, Kansas, Washington, LSU, Brigham Young, Gonzaga, Xavier, Memphis, Cleveland State, Northern Iowa, Utah State, Chattanooga, plus 17 from 1-bid leagues with no bubble teams.
At-large Locks (25):
Duke, Wake Forest, Florida State, Clemson, Boston College, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Villanova, Marquette, Syracuse, West Virginia, Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M, UCLA, Arizona State, California, Tennessee, Utah, Butler
Should be in with 1 more victory (5 teams):
Michigan, Minnesota, Oklahoma State, Arizona, Dayton
Bubble (11 teams fighting for 4 spots):
Providence, Penn State, South Carolina, Florida, Auburn, UNLV, New Mexico, San Diego State, St. Mary's, Creighton, Davidson
Still alive, but need deep tournament runs to get on the bubble:
Miami (FL), Maryland, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame, Northwestern, Kansas State, Nebraska, Southern Cal, Rhode Island
Projected Automatic Bids:
North Carolina, Louisville, Michigan State, Kansas, Washington, LSU, Brigham Young, Gonzaga, Xavier, Memphis, Cleveland State, Northern Iowa, Utah State, Chattanooga, plus 17 from 1-bid leagues with no bubble teams.
At-large Locks (25):
Duke, Wake Forest, Florida State, Clemson, Boston College, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Villanova, Marquette, Syracuse, West Virginia, Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M, UCLA, Arizona State, California, Tennessee, Utah, Butler
Should be in with 1 more victory (5 teams):
Michigan, Minnesota, Oklahoma State, Arizona, Dayton
Bubble (11 teams fighting for 4 spots):
Providence, Penn State, South Carolina, Florida, Auburn, UNLV, New Mexico, San Diego State, St. Mary's, Creighton, Davidson
Still alive, but need deep tournament runs to get on the bubble:
Miami (FL), Maryland, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame, Northwestern, Kansas State, Nebraska, Southern Cal, Rhode Island
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Projections for 3/11/09
Last Four In: Penn State, UNLV, South Carolina, New Mexico
Last Four Out: Creighton, Providence, St. Mary's, Florida
Next Four Out: San Diego State, Auburn, Miami (FL), Maryland
South (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Radford
8 West Virginia
9 Texas A&M
5 Syracuse
12 Siena
4 Illinois
13 Cleveland State
6 Arizona State
11 South Carolina
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Utah
10 Michigan
2 Oklahoma
15 East Tennessee State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Tennessee
9 Dayton
5 Clemson
12 Northern Iowa
4 Missouri
13 North Dakota State
6 Brigham Young
11 Penn State
3 Washington
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Butler
10 Boston College
2 Louisville
15 Morgan State
Midwest (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs Alabama State
8 Wisconsin
9 Oklahoma State
5 Xavier
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 VCU
6 Purdue
11 UNLV
3 Kansas
14 Portland State
7 California
10 Utah State
2 Duke
15 Cornell
East (#3 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State
8 Texas
9 Ohio State
5 UCLA
12 New Mexico
4 Gonzaga
13 American
6 Marquette
11 Arizona
3 Wake Forest
14 Binghamton
7 LSU
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Last Four Out: Creighton, Providence, St. Mary's, Florida
Next Four Out: San Diego State, Auburn, Miami (FL), Maryland
South (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Radford
8 West Virginia
9 Texas A&M
5 Syracuse
12 Siena
4 Illinois
13 Cleveland State
6 Arizona State
11 South Carolina
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Utah
10 Michigan
2 Oklahoma
15 East Tennessee State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Cal State-Northridge
8 Tennessee
9 Dayton
5 Clemson
12 Northern Iowa
4 Missouri
13 North Dakota State
6 Brigham Young
11 Penn State
3 Washington
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Butler
10 Boston College
2 Louisville
15 Morgan State
Midwest (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Chattanooga vs Alabama State
8 Wisconsin
9 Oklahoma State
5 Xavier
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 VCU
6 Purdue
11 UNLV
3 Kansas
14 Portland State
7 California
10 Utah State
2 Duke
15 Cornell
East (#3 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State
8 Texas
9 Ohio State
5 UCLA
12 New Mexico
4 Gonzaga
13 American
6 Marquette
11 Arizona
3 Wake Forest
14 Binghamton
7 LSU
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Sunday, March 8, 2009
Projections for 3/9/09
Last Four In: St. Mary's, UNLV, South Carolina, New Mexico
Last Four Out: Providence, Creighton, Florida, San Diego State
South (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morgan State
8 West Virginia
9 Texas A&M
5 Syracuse
12 Siena
4 Illinois
13 Northern Iowa
6 Arizona State
11 South Carolina
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Utah
10 Michigan
2 Oklahoma
15 East Tennessee State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Radford
8 Tennessee
9 Dayton
5 Clemson
12 St. Mary's
4 Missouri
13 North Dakota State
6 Xavier
11 Penn State
3 Washington
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Brigham Young
10 Boston College
2 Louisville
15 Binghamton
East (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs Alabama State
8 Wisconsin
9 Oklahoma State
5 Xavier
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Purdue
11 UNLV
3 Kansas
14 Charleston
7 California
10 Utah State
2 Duke
15 Cornell
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State
8 Texas
9 Ohio State
5 Gonzaga
12 New Mexico
4 UCLA
13 Weber State
6 Marquette
11 Arizona
3 Wake Forest
14 American
7 LSU
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Last Four Out: Providence, Creighton, Florida, San Diego State
South (#1 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morgan State
8 West Virginia
9 Texas A&M
5 Syracuse
12 Siena
4 Illinois
13 Northern Iowa
6 Arizona State
11 South Carolina
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Utah
10 Michigan
2 Oklahoma
15 East Tennessee State
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Radford
8 Tennessee
9 Dayton
5 Clemson
12 St. Mary's
4 Missouri
13 North Dakota State
6 Xavier
11 Penn State
3 Washington
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Brigham Young
10 Boston College
2 Louisville
15 Binghamton
East (#2 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs Alabama State
8 Wisconsin
9 Oklahoma State
5 Xavier
12 Western Kentucky
4 Florida State
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Purdue
11 UNLV
3 Kansas
14 Charleston
7 California
10 Utah State
2 Duke
15 Cornell
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State
8 Texas
9 Ohio State
5 Gonzaga
12 New Mexico
4 UCLA
13 Weber State
6 Marquette
11 Arizona
3 Wake Forest
14 American
7 LSU
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Saturday, March 7, 2009
Projections for 3/7/09
Last Four In: St. Mary's, Arizona, Rhode Island, Maryland
Last Four Out: Providence, Michigan, New Mexico, Virginia Tech
East (#1 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Radford
8 Utah
9 Oklahoma State
5 Purdue
12 Arizona
4 Florida State
13 Davidson
6 West Virginia
11 Siena
3 Kansas
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 California
10 Ohio State
2 Duke
15 Cornell
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Austin Peay
8 Boston College
9 Texas A&M
5 Gonzaga
12 Utah State
4 Washington
13 Weber State
6 Tennessee
11 Dayton
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Brigham Young
10 Minnesota
2 Oklahoma
15 Jacksonville
South (#2 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morgan State
8 Texas
9 Wisconsin
5 Marquette
12 Rhode Island
4 UCLA
13 Western Kentucky
6 LSU
11 Maryland
3 Missouri
14 North Dakota State
7 Butler
10 Creighton
2 Louisville
15 Binghamton
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs Alabama State
8 Arizona State
9 Penn State
5 Clemson
12 St. Mary's
4 Xavier
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Illinois
11 South Carolina
3 Wake Forest
14 American
7 Syracuse
10 UNLV
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Last Four Out: Providence, Michigan, New Mexico, Virginia Tech
East (#1 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Radford
8 Utah
9 Oklahoma State
5 Purdue
12 Arizona
4 Florida State
13 Davidson
6 West Virginia
11 Siena
3 Kansas
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 California
10 Ohio State
2 Duke
15 Cornell
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Austin Peay
8 Boston College
9 Texas A&M
5 Gonzaga
12 Utah State
4 Washington
13 Weber State
6 Tennessee
11 Dayton
3 Villanova
14 Buffalo
7 Brigham Young
10 Minnesota
2 Oklahoma
15 Jacksonville
South (#2 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morgan State
8 Texas
9 Wisconsin
5 Marquette
12 Rhode Island
4 UCLA
13 Western Kentucky
6 LSU
11 Maryland
3 Missouri
14 North Dakota State
7 Butler
10 Creighton
2 Louisville
15 Binghamton
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs Alabama State
8 Arizona State
9 Penn State
5 Clemson
12 St. Mary's
4 Xavier
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Illinois
11 South Carolina
3 Wake Forest
14 American
7 Syracuse
10 UNLV
2 Memphis
15 Robert Morris
Thursday, March 5, 2009
Projections for 3/5/09
Last Four In: Penn State, Providence, St. Mary's, Maryland
Last Four Out: Rhode Island, New Mexico, Michigan, Virginia Tech
East (#1 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Radford
8 Tennessee
9 Ohio State
5 Clemson
12 Utah State
4 Xavier
13 Davidson
6 Arizona State
11 Penn State
3 Kansas
14 Weber State
7 Syracuse
10 Creighton
2 Duke
15 Cornell
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Morgan State
8 Texas
9 Boston College
5 Gonzaga
12 Providence
4 Washington
13 Western Kentucky
6 LSU
11 Maryland
3 Villanova
14 Binghamton
7 Brigham Young
10 Minnesota
2 Oklahoma
15 Bowling Green
South (#2 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Jacksonville
8 Wisconsin
9 South Carolina
5 Marquette
12 St. Mary's
4 UCLA
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Purdue
11 Dayton
3 Missouri
14 North Dakota State
7 Butler
10 UNLV
2 Louisville
15 Robert Morris
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs Alabama State
8 California
9 Oklahoma State
5 Florida State
12 Siena
4 Illinois
13 American
6 West Virginia
11 Texas A&M
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Utah
10 Arizona
2 Memphis
15 Tennessee-Martin
Last Four Out: Rhode Island, New Mexico, Michigan, Virginia Tech
East (#1 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Radford
8 Tennessee
9 Ohio State
5 Clemson
12 Utah State
4 Xavier
13 Davidson
6 Arizona State
11 Penn State
3 Kansas
14 Weber State
7 Syracuse
10 Creighton
2 Duke
15 Cornell
West (#4 Overall)
1 Michigan State
16 Morgan State
8 Texas
9 Boston College
5 Gonzaga
12 Providence
4 Washington
13 Western Kentucky
6 LSU
11 Maryland
3 Villanova
14 Binghamton
7 Brigham Young
10 Minnesota
2 Oklahoma
15 Bowling Green
South (#2 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Jacksonville
8 Wisconsin
9 South Carolina
5 Marquette
12 St. Mary's
4 UCLA
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 Purdue
11 Dayton
3 Missouri
14 North Dakota State
7 Butler
10 UNLV
2 Louisville
15 Robert Morris
Midwest (#3 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs Alabama State
8 California
9 Oklahoma State
5 Florida State
12 Siena
4 Illinois
13 American
6 West Virginia
11 Texas A&M
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Utah
10 Arizona
2 Memphis
15 Tennessee-Martin
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
Bubble Breakdown: 3/4/09
The amount of bubble teams that didn't get the job done tonight is just staggering. Here's a rundown of what each team needs to do from here on out:
North Carolina 86, Virginia Tech 78: With this loss, the Hokies are now 7-8 in the ACC and have lost 7 of their last 10. They still have a chance at an at-large, but they absolutely must win @FSU now.
NC State 74, Boston College 69: A hurtful, but not devastating loss for the Eagles. I still think BC will be fine as long as they take care of business against GT on Saturday. With the win they would finish 9-7 in the ACC with victories over UNC, Duke, and FSU.
Ga Tech 78, Miami 68: This loss just about ends Miami's NCAA hopes. Their only chance now is to make it to the ACC finals, and even then they might need the auto-bid to make the field.
Georgia 90, Kentucky 85: This crushing loss may be too much for UK to overcome. The Wildcats need to win @Florida, then get to the conference finals to have a chance now.
Mississippi State 80, Florida 71: Could the SEC really be a 3 bid league? Florida looks to be in the same boat as Kentucky, as a run to the conference finals might be necessary to get an at-large bid.
Minnesota 51, Wisconsin 46: A huge win for the Gophers, as they are now guaranteed a .500 finish in Big 10 play. Add that to their 12-0 nonconference record (which includes a win over Louisville) and Minnesota appears to be in good shape to grab a bid. You listening Lunardi?
Texas A&M 72, Colorado 66: Not exactly a marquee win, but the Aggies have passed alot of bubble teams over the past 3 days by simply not losing. Texas A&M just needs one more win now (either against Mizzou or in the Big 12 tourney) to enter lock status.
UTEP 70, UAB 52: This should end any chance the Blazers had at grabbing an at-large. They must win the C-USA tournament now.
Northwestern 64, Purdue 61: A huge win for the Wildcats. They're still on the outside looking in at this point, but if they win @Ohio State and then win a couple in the Big 10 tournament, who knows.
North Carolina 86, Virginia Tech 78: With this loss, the Hokies are now 7-8 in the ACC and have lost 7 of their last 10. They still have a chance at an at-large, but they absolutely must win @FSU now.
NC State 74, Boston College 69: A hurtful, but not devastating loss for the Eagles. I still think BC will be fine as long as they take care of business against GT on Saturday. With the win they would finish 9-7 in the ACC with victories over UNC, Duke, and FSU.
Ga Tech 78, Miami 68: This loss just about ends Miami's NCAA hopes. Their only chance now is to make it to the ACC finals, and even then they might need the auto-bid to make the field.
Georgia 90, Kentucky 85: This crushing loss may be too much for UK to overcome. The Wildcats need to win @Florida, then get to the conference finals to have a chance now.
Mississippi State 80, Florida 71: Could the SEC really be a 3 bid league? Florida looks to be in the same boat as Kentucky, as a run to the conference finals might be necessary to get an at-large bid.
Minnesota 51, Wisconsin 46: A huge win for the Gophers, as they are now guaranteed a .500 finish in Big 10 play. Add that to their 12-0 nonconference record (which includes a win over Louisville) and Minnesota appears to be in good shape to grab a bid. You listening Lunardi?
Texas A&M 72, Colorado 66: Not exactly a marquee win, but the Aggies have passed alot of bubble teams over the past 3 days by simply not losing. Texas A&M just needs one more win now (either against Mizzou or in the Big 12 tourney) to enter lock status.
UTEP 70, UAB 52: This should end any chance the Blazers had at grabbing an at-large. They must win the C-USA tournament now.
Northwestern 64, Purdue 61: A huge win for the Wildcats. They're still on the outside looking in at this point, but if they win @Ohio State and then win a couple in the Big 10 tournament, who knows.
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Bubble Update
Updated through games of 3/3/09.
Projected Automatic Bids
North Carolina, Connecticut, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Washington, LSU, Utah, Gonzaga, Xavier, Memphis, Butler, Creighton, Siena, Utah State, plus 17 from 1-bid leagues.
Locks (23 teams)
Duke, Wake Forest, Florida State, Clemson, Boston College, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Villanova, Marquette, West Virginia, Syracuse, Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, UCLA, Arizona State, California, Tennessee, Brigham Young
Bubble (19 teams fighting for 11 bids)
Virginia Tech, Miami (FL), Maryland, Providence, Minnesota, Penn State, Michigan, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, Arizona, South Carolina, Florida, Kentucky, UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico, St. Mary's, Dayton, Rhode Island
Teams on the outside that could still play their way into the discussion
Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Northwestern, Kansas State, Nebraska, Southern Cal, Washington State, Auburn, Temple, UAB
Projected Automatic Bids
North Carolina, Connecticut, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Washington, LSU, Utah, Gonzaga, Xavier, Memphis, Butler, Creighton, Siena, Utah State, plus 17 from 1-bid leagues.
Locks (23 teams)
Duke, Wake Forest, Florida State, Clemson, Boston College, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Villanova, Marquette, West Virginia, Syracuse, Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, UCLA, Arizona State, California, Tennessee, Brigham Young
Bubble (19 teams fighting for 11 bids)
Virginia Tech, Miami (FL), Maryland, Providence, Minnesota, Penn State, Michigan, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, Arizona, South Carolina, Florida, Kentucky, UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico, St. Mary's, Dayton, Rhode Island
Teams on the outside that could still play their way into the discussion
Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Northwestern, Kansas State, Nebraska, Southern Cal, Washington State, Auburn, Temple, UAB
Sunday, March 1, 2009
Projections for 3/2/09
Last Four In: Kentucky, Providence, Florida, Maryland
Last Four Out: Texas A&M, Cincinnati, Michigan, Virginia Tech
Next Four Out: St. Mary's, Rhode Island, Miami (FL), Notre Dame
East (#1 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Radford
8 Texas
9 Dayton
5 Clemson
12 Florida
4 Purdue
13 American
6 Gonzaga
11 Penn State
3 Villanova
14 Binghamton
7 California
10 Oklahoma State
2 Duke
15 Bowling Green
West (#4 Overall)
1 Oklahoma
16 Jacksonville
8 Brigham Young
9 South Carolina
5 Florida State
12 Providence
4 Illinois
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 UCLA
11 Maryland
3 Missouri
14 North Dakota State
7 West Virginia
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 Tennessee-Martin
Midwest (#2 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morgan State
8 Tennessee
9 UNLV
5 Xavier
12 Siena
4 Marquette
13 Davidson
6 Butler
11 Creighton
3 Kansas
14 Weber State
7 Arizona State
10 Ohio State
2 Louisville
15 Cornell
South (#3 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs. Alabama State
8 Boston College
9 Wisconsin
5 LSU
12 Utah State
4 Washington
13 Western Kentucky
6 Syracuse
11 Kentucky
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Utah
10 Arizona
2 Michigan State
15 Robert Morris
Last Four Out: Texas A&M, Cincinnati, Michigan, Virginia Tech
Next Four Out: St. Mary's, Rhode Island, Miami (FL), Notre Dame
East (#1 Overall)
1 Connecticut
16 Radford
8 Texas
9 Dayton
5 Clemson
12 Florida
4 Purdue
13 American
6 Gonzaga
11 Penn State
3 Villanova
14 Binghamton
7 California
10 Oklahoma State
2 Duke
15 Bowling Green
West (#4 Overall)
1 Oklahoma
16 Jacksonville
8 Brigham Young
9 South Carolina
5 Florida State
12 Providence
4 Illinois
13 Virginia Commonwealth
6 UCLA
11 Maryland
3 Missouri
14 North Dakota State
7 West Virginia
10 Minnesota
2 Memphis
15 Tennessee-Martin
Midwest (#2 Overall)
1 North Carolina
16 Morgan State
8 Tennessee
9 UNLV
5 Xavier
12 Siena
4 Marquette
13 Davidson
6 Butler
11 Creighton
3 Kansas
14 Weber State
7 Arizona State
10 Ohio State
2 Louisville
15 Cornell
South (#3 Overall)
1 Pittsburgh
16 Cal State-Northridge vs. Alabama State
8 Boston College
9 Wisconsin
5 LSU
12 Utah State
4 Washington
13 Western Kentucky
6 Syracuse
11 Kentucky
3 Wake Forest
14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Utah
10 Arizona
2 Michigan State
15 Robert Morris
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