Projections for 1/5/09

In addition to being my first projections in 2009, this is also the first projection where I have completely thrown out the preseason predictions and am going solely on regular season results.

Last Four In: Florida State, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky

Last Four Out: Washington, LSU, Stanford, Creighton

Next Four Out: Oklahoma State, South Carolina, Arizona, Rhode Island


East (#1 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 Play-in Game

8 Florida
9 Boston College

5 Baylor
12 California

4 Purdue
13 George Mason

6 Marquette
11 Illinois State

3 Clemson
14 Virginia Military

7 Michigan
10 St. Mary's

2 Texas
15 East Tennessee State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Duke
16 American

8 Illinois
9 UNLV

5 West Virginia
12 Missouri

4 Xavier
13 Western Kentucky

6 Louisville
11 Arkansas

3 UCLA
14 Portland State

7 Ohio State
10 Miami (FL)

2 Oklahoma
15 Pacific


Midwest (#2 Overall)

1 North Carolina
16 Hampton

8 Villanova
9 Gonzaga

5 Butler
12 Kentucky

4 Notre Dame
13 Siena

6 Davidson
11 Florida State

3 Michigan State
14 Vermont

7 Kansas
10 Brigham Young

2 Georgetown
15 Cornell


South (#3 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State

8 Wisconsin
9 Maryland

5 Tennessee
12 Utah State

4 Memphis
13 Miami (OH)

6 Minnesota
11 Dayton

3 Syracuse
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Arizona State
10 Texas A&M

2 Wake Forest
15 Oakland


Play-in Game: Robert Morris vs. Prairie View A&M

A couple notes: I had California as a 9 seed but had to move them down because of bracket constraints. I also had West Virginia as a 7 but needed another Big East team on the 5 line to fit the bracket requirements and felt they had a stronger resume than Marquette, Louisville, and Villanova.