Projections for 1/26/09

Last Four In: Brigham Young, Miami (FL), Southern Cal, LSU

Last Four Out: Wisconsin, South Carolina, Utah, Oklahoma State

Next Four Out: Texas A&M, Providence, Mississippi State, San Diego State


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 Duke
16 Morgan State

8 California
9 Kentucky

5 West Virginia
12 Siena

4 Butler
13 Western Kentucky

6 Washington
11 Virginia Tech

3 Michigan State
14 Cornell

7 Kansas
10 Utah State

2 Louisville
15 North Dakota State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Oklahoma
16 Austin Peay

8 Florida
9 Villanova

5 Purdue
12 Southern Cal

4 Gonzaga
13 Northern Iowa

6 UCLA
11 Ohio State

3 Clemson
14 Virginia Military

7 Baylor
10 UNLV

2 Pittsburgh
15 American


East (#2 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Texas A&M C.C. vs. Alabama State

8 Michigan
9 Missouri

5 Arizona State
12 Miami (FL)

4 Memphis
13 Virginia Commonwealth

6 Georgetown
11 Brigham Young

3 Xavier
14 East Tennessee State

7 Tennessee
10 Penn State

2 North Carolina
15 Binghamton


South (#3 Overall)

1 Wake Forest
16 Robert Morris

8 Notre Dame
9 St. Mary's

5 Illinois
12 LSU

4 Syracuse
13 Buffalo

6 Minnesota
11 Dayton

3 Texas
14 Portland State

7 Davidson
10 Florida State

2 Marquette
15 Long Beach State

Projections for 1/20/09

Last Four In: UNLV, Oklahoma State, Southern Cal, Utah

Last Four Out: Penn State, LSU, Texas A&M, Stanford

Next Four Out: Maryland, Mississippi State, San Diego State, Providence


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 Wake Forest
16 American

8 Michigan
9 Brigham Young

5 Arizona State
12 Oklahoma State

4 Louisville
13 Miami (OH)

6 Purdue
11 Dayton

3 Texas
14 Portland State

7 Davidson
10 Kentucky

2 Georgetown
15 North Dakota State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Oklahoma
16 Austin Peay

8 West Virginia
9 St. Mary's

5 Minnesota
12 Utah

4 UCLA
13 Northern Iowa

6 Florida
11 Utah State

3 Clemson
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Ohio State
10 Missouri

2 Pittsburgh
15 Albany


South (#2 Overall)

1 Duke
16 Hampton

8 Illinois
9 Villanova

5 Memphis
12 Siena

4 Marquette
13 Western Kentucky

6 Kansas
11 UNLV

3 Syracuse
14 Virginia Military

7 California
10 Miami (FL)

2 Michigan State
15 Long Beach State


East (#3 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Robert Morris vs. Prairie View A&M

8 Baylor
9 Florida State

5 Gonzaga
12 Southern Cal

4 Butler
13 George Mason

6 Notre Dame
11 Washington

3 Xavier
14 Cornell

7 Tennessee
10 Wisconsin

2 North Carolina
15 East Tennessee State

Projections for 1/12/09

Now that conference play has started the tournament field is beginning to take shape. From now on there shouldn't be as much erratic movement from week-to-week.

Last Four In: Washington, Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Dayton

Last Four Out: Missouri, Penn State, Boston College, Arizona

Next Four Out: San Diego State, South Carolina, Providence, Alabama


East (#1 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 Robert Morris vs. Prairie View A&M

8 Kansas
9 St. Mary's

5 Michigan
12 Florida State

4 Xavier
13 George Mason

6 Tennessee
11 Washington

3 Clemson
14 Virginia Military

7 West Virginia
10 Texas A&M

2 Michigan State
15 Cornell


South (#4 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Austin Peay

8 Davidson
9 Brigham Young

5 Butler
12 Oklahoma State

4 Minnesota
13 Middle Tennessee State

6 Louisville
11 Utah State

3 UCLA
14 Portland State

7 Baylor
10 Arkansas

2 North Carolina
15 Binghamton


Midwest (#2 Overall)

1 Wake Forest
16 Hampton

8 Ohio State
9 Florida

5 California
12 Drake

4 Marquette
13 Miami (OH)

6 Purdue
11 UNLV

3 Texas
14 East Tennessee State

7 Memphis
10 Miami (FL)

2 Syracuse
15 North Dakota State


West (#3 Overall)

1 Duke
16 American

8 Wisconsin
9 Villanova

5 Arizona State
12 Dayton

4 Notre Dame
13 Siena

6 Gonzaga
11 Kentucky

3 Georgetown
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Illinois
10 Maryland

2 Oklahoma
15 Long Beach State

Projections for 1/5/09

In addition to being my first projections in 2009, this is also the first projection where I have completely thrown out the preseason predictions and am going solely on regular season results.

Last Four In: Florida State, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky

Last Four Out: Washington, LSU, Stanford, Creighton

Next Four Out: Oklahoma State, South Carolina, Arizona, Rhode Island


East (#1 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 Play-in Game

8 Florida
9 Boston College

5 Baylor
12 California

4 Purdue
13 George Mason

6 Marquette
11 Illinois State

3 Clemson
14 Virginia Military

7 Michigan
10 St. Mary's

2 Texas
15 East Tennessee State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Duke
16 American

8 Illinois
9 UNLV

5 West Virginia
12 Missouri

4 Xavier
13 Western Kentucky

6 Louisville
11 Arkansas

3 UCLA
14 Portland State

7 Ohio State
10 Miami (FL)

2 Oklahoma
15 Pacific


Midwest (#2 Overall)

1 North Carolina
16 Hampton

8 Villanova
9 Gonzaga

5 Butler
12 Kentucky

4 Notre Dame
13 Siena

6 Davidson
11 Florida State

3 Michigan State
14 Vermont

7 Kansas
10 Brigham Young

2 Georgetown
15 Cornell


South (#3 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State

8 Wisconsin
9 Maryland

5 Tennessee
12 Utah State

4 Memphis
13 Miami (OH)

6 Minnesota
11 Dayton

3 Syracuse
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Arizona State
10 Texas A&M

2 Wake Forest
15 Oakland


Play-in Game: Robert Morris vs. Prairie View A&M

A couple notes: I had California as a 9 seed but had to move them down because of bracket constraints. I also had West Virginia as a 7 but needed another Big East team on the 5 line to fit the bracket requirements and felt they had a stronger resume than Marquette, Louisville, and Villanova.