Projections for 1/26/09

Last Four In: Brigham Young, Miami (FL), Southern Cal, LSU

Last Four Out: Wisconsin, South Carolina, Utah, Oklahoma State

Next Four Out: Texas A&M, Providence, Mississippi State, San Diego State


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 Duke
16 Morgan State

8 California
9 Kentucky

5 West Virginia
12 Siena

4 Butler
13 Western Kentucky

6 Washington
11 Virginia Tech

3 Michigan State
14 Cornell

7 Kansas
10 Utah State

2 Louisville
15 North Dakota State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Oklahoma
16 Austin Peay

8 Florida
9 Villanova

5 Purdue
12 Southern Cal

4 Gonzaga
13 Northern Iowa

6 UCLA
11 Ohio State

3 Clemson
14 Virginia Military

7 Baylor
10 UNLV

2 Pittsburgh
15 American


East (#2 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Texas A&M C.C. vs. Alabama State

8 Michigan
9 Missouri

5 Arizona State
12 Miami (FL)

4 Memphis
13 Virginia Commonwealth

6 Georgetown
11 Brigham Young

3 Xavier
14 East Tennessee State

7 Tennessee
10 Penn State

2 North Carolina
15 Binghamton


South (#3 Overall)

1 Wake Forest
16 Robert Morris

8 Notre Dame
9 St. Mary's

5 Illinois
12 LSU

4 Syracuse
13 Buffalo

6 Minnesota
11 Dayton

3 Texas
14 Portland State

7 Davidson
10 Florida State

2 Marquette
15 Long Beach State

Projections for 1/20/09

Last Four In: UNLV, Oklahoma State, Southern Cal, Utah

Last Four Out: Penn State, LSU, Texas A&M, Stanford

Next Four Out: Maryland, Mississippi State, San Diego State, Providence


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 Wake Forest
16 American

8 Michigan
9 Brigham Young

5 Arizona State
12 Oklahoma State

4 Louisville
13 Miami (OH)

6 Purdue
11 Dayton

3 Texas
14 Portland State

7 Davidson
10 Kentucky

2 Georgetown
15 North Dakota State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Oklahoma
16 Austin Peay

8 West Virginia
9 St. Mary's

5 Minnesota
12 Utah

4 UCLA
13 Northern Iowa

6 Florida
11 Utah State

3 Clemson
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Ohio State
10 Missouri

2 Pittsburgh
15 Albany


South (#2 Overall)

1 Duke
16 Hampton

8 Illinois
9 Villanova

5 Memphis
12 Siena

4 Marquette
13 Western Kentucky

6 Kansas
11 UNLV

3 Syracuse
14 Virginia Military

7 California
10 Miami (FL)

2 Michigan State
15 Long Beach State


East (#3 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Robert Morris vs. Prairie View A&M

8 Baylor
9 Florida State

5 Gonzaga
12 Southern Cal

4 Butler
13 George Mason

6 Notre Dame
11 Washington

3 Xavier
14 Cornell

7 Tennessee
10 Wisconsin

2 North Carolina
15 East Tennessee State

Projections for 1/12/09

Now that conference play has started the tournament field is beginning to take shape. From now on there shouldn't be as much erratic movement from week-to-week.

Last Four In: Washington, Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Dayton

Last Four Out: Missouri, Penn State, Boston College, Arizona

Next Four Out: San Diego State, South Carolina, Providence, Alabama


East (#1 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 Robert Morris vs. Prairie View A&M

8 Kansas
9 St. Mary's

5 Michigan
12 Florida State

4 Xavier
13 George Mason

6 Tennessee
11 Washington

3 Clemson
14 Virginia Military

7 West Virginia
10 Texas A&M

2 Michigan State
15 Cornell


South (#4 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Austin Peay

8 Davidson
9 Brigham Young

5 Butler
12 Oklahoma State

4 Minnesota
13 Middle Tennessee State

6 Louisville
11 Utah State

3 UCLA
14 Portland State

7 Baylor
10 Arkansas

2 North Carolina
15 Binghamton


Midwest (#2 Overall)

1 Wake Forest
16 Hampton

8 Ohio State
9 Florida

5 California
12 Drake

4 Marquette
13 Miami (OH)

6 Purdue
11 UNLV

3 Texas
14 East Tennessee State

7 Memphis
10 Miami (FL)

2 Syracuse
15 North Dakota State


West (#3 Overall)

1 Duke
16 American

8 Wisconsin
9 Villanova

5 Arizona State
12 Dayton

4 Notre Dame
13 Siena

6 Gonzaga
11 Kentucky

3 Georgetown
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Illinois
10 Maryland

2 Oklahoma
15 Long Beach State

Projections for 1/5/09

In addition to being my first projections in 2009, this is also the first projection where I have completely thrown out the preseason predictions and am going solely on regular season results.

Last Four In: Florida State, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky

Last Four Out: Washington, LSU, Stanford, Creighton

Next Four Out: Oklahoma State, South Carolina, Arizona, Rhode Island


East (#1 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 Play-in Game

8 Florida
9 Boston College

5 Baylor
12 California

4 Purdue
13 George Mason

6 Marquette
11 Illinois State

3 Clemson
14 Virginia Military

7 Michigan
10 St. Mary's

2 Texas
15 East Tennessee State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Duke
16 American

8 Illinois
9 UNLV

5 West Virginia
12 Missouri

4 Xavier
13 Western Kentucky

6 Louisville
11 Arkansas

3 UCLA
14 Portland State

7 Ohio State
10 Miami (FL)

2 Oklahoma
15 Pacific


Midwest (#2 Overall)

1 North Carolina
16 Hampton

8 Villanova
9 Gonzaga

5 Butler
12 Kentucky

4 Notre Dame
13 Siena

6 Davidson
11 Florida State

3 Michigan State
14 Vermont

7 Kansas
10 Brigham Young

2 Georgetown
15 Cornell


South (#3 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Morehead State

8 Wisconsin
9 Maryland

5 Tennessee
12 Utah State

4 Memphis
13 Miami (OH)

6 Minnesota
11 Dayton

3 Syracuse
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Arizona State
10 Texas A&M

2 Wake Forest
15 Oakland


Play-in Game: Robert Morris vs. Prairie View A&M

A couple notes: I had California as a 9 seed but had to move them down because of bracket constraints. I also had West Virginia as a 7 but needed another Big East team on the 5 line to fit the bracket requirements and felt they had a stronger resume than Marquette, Louisville, and Villanova.

Projections for 12/29/08

Last Four In: Missouri, Arizona, LSU, Stanford

Last Four Out: California, Cincinnati, Southern Cal, Creighton

Next Four Out: Washington, Oklahoma State, Boston College, Evansville


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 North Carolina
16 Hampton

8 Davidson
9 Illinois

5 Louisville
12 Stanford

4 Baylor
13 Portland State

6 Xavier
11 Kentucky

3 Syracuse
14 George Mason

7 Michigan
10 Florida State

2 Texas
15 Cornell


West (#4 Overall)

1 Oklahoma
16 American

8 Brigham Young
9 Minnesota

5 Villanova
12 Illinois State

4 Clemson
13 Miami (OH)

6 Ohio State
11 Missouri

3 UCLA
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Florida
10 St. Mary's

2 Georgetown
15 East Tennessee State


East (#2 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Play-in Game

8 Kansas
9 Maryland

5 Arizona State
12 Utah State

4 Tennessee
13 Western Kentucky

6 Marquette
11 UNLV

3 Michigan State
14 Virginia Military

7 West Virginia
10 Dayton

2 Wake Forest
15 North Dakota State


South (#3 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 Austin Peay

8 Miami (FL)
9 Texas A&M

5 Gonzaga
12 LSU

4 Purdue
13 Siena

6 Memphis
11 Arizona

3 Notre Dame
14 Pacific

7 Butler
10 Wisconsin

2 Duke
15 Vermont


Play-in Game: Quinnipiac vs. Prairie View A&M

Projections for 12/22/08

Last Four In: Kentucky, Arizona, California, Cincinnati

Last Four Out: Southern Cal, LSU, Creighton, Stanford

Next Four Out: Temple, UAB, Arkansas, Washington State


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 North Carolina
16 Hampton

8 Dayton
9 Brigham Young

5 Louisville
12 Illinois State

4 Baylor
13 Miami (OH)

6 Memphis
11 Arizona

3 Michigan State
14 Pacific

7 Florida
10 Missouri

2 Georgetown
15 Vermont


West (#4 Overall)

1 Oklahoma
16 Austin Peay

8 Miami (FL)
9 Minnesota

5 Syracuse
12 George Mason

4 Xavier
13 Utah State

6 Marquette
11 Florida State

3 UCLA
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Wisconsin
10 West Virginia

2 Gonzaga
15 East Tennessee State


East (#2 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Play-in Game

8 Texas A&M
9 Davidson

5 Clemson
12 California

4 Ohio State
13 Western Kentucky

6 Villanova
11 Kentucky

3 Wake Forest
14 Cornell

7 Michigan
10 UNLV

2 Texas
15 VMI


South (#3 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 North Dakota State

8 St. Mary's
9 Maryland

5 Tennessee
12 Cincinnati

4 Purdue
13 Siena

6 Arizona State
11 Butler

3 Notre Dame
14 Portland State

7 Kansas
10 Illinois

2 Duke
15 American


Play-in Game: Quinnipiac vs. Prairie View A&M

Projections for 12/15/08

Last Four In: UNLV, Florida State, Southern Cal, Seton Hall

Last Four Out: California, Minnesota, Creighton, Temple

Next Four Out: Washington State, UAB, Rhode Island, Northwestern


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 North Carolina
16 Hampton

8 Kansas
9 LSU

5 Purdue
12 Illinois State

4 Notre Dame
13 Siena

6 Arizona State
11 UNLV

3 Louisville
14 Portland State

7 Miami (FL)
10 Texas A&M

2 Xavier
15 Vermont


West (#4 Overall)

1 Oklahoma
16 East Tennessee State

8 Michigan
9 Dayton

5 Marquette
12 Miami (OH)

4 UCLA
13 Utah State

6 Clemson
11 Kentucky

3 Georgetown
14 Stephen F. Austin

7 Wisconsin
10 West Virginia

2 Gonzaga
15 Pacific


East (#2 Overall)

1 Connecticut
16 Play-in Game

8 Florida
9 St. Mary's

5 Ohio State
12 Florida State

4 Baylor
13 George Mason

6 Memphis
11 Southern Cal

3 Syracuse
14 Liberty

7 Brigham Young
10 Missouri

2 Duke
15 Austin Peay


South (#3 Overall)

1 Pittsburgh
16 North Dakota State

8 Arizona
9 Maryland

5 Michigan State
12 Seton Hall

4 Tennessee
13 Western Kentucky

6 Villanova
11 Butler

3 Wake Forest
14 Cornell

7 Davidson
10 Illinois

2 Texas
15 American

Play-in Game: Quinnipiac vs. Prairie View A&M