Sunday, February 26, 2012

Projections for 2/26/12

First Four Out:  Mississippi State, VCU, Oregon, South Florida

Next Four Out:  St. Joseph's, Central Florida, NC State, Tennessee


South (#1 Overall)

1 Kentucky
16 UNC Asheville vs Mississippi Valley State

8 Iowa State
9 Southern Miss

5 Wisconsin
12 Seton Hall vs Colorado State

4 Florida State
13 Drexel

6 Murray State
11 Texas

3 Marquette
14 Akron

7 New Mexico
10 Alabama

2 Ohio State
15 Bucknell


West (#4 Overall)

1 Duke
16 Texas-Arlington

8 California
9 Memphis

5 Indiana
12 West Virginia

4 UNLV
13 Oral Roberts

6 Creighton
11 Connecticut

3 Georgetown
14 Iona

7 St. Mary's
10 St. Louis

2 Kansas
15 Weber State


East (#2 Overall)

1 Syracuse
16 Long Island

8 Purdue
9 Kansas State

5 Temple
12 Arizona

4 Florida
13 Miami (FL) vs Northwestern

6 Notre Dame
11 Long Beach State

3 Michigan
14 Belmont

7 San Diego State
10 Brigham Young

2 Missouri
15 Davidson


Midwest (#3 Overall)

1 Michigan State
16 Stony Brook vs Savannah State

8 Virginia
9 Washington

5 Louisville
12 Xavier

4 Wichita State
13 Middle Tennessee

6 Gonzaga
11 Cincinnati

3 Baylor
14 Nevada

7 Vanderbilt
10 Harvard

2 North Carolina
15 Valparaiso

Thursday, February 23, 2012

Projections for 2/24/12

First Four Out:  Northwestern, VCU, NC State, Oregon

Next Four Out:  South Florida, Central Florida, LSU, Massachusetts


South (#1 Overall)

1 Kentucky
16 UNC Asheville vs Mississippi Valley State

8 Kansas State
9 Purdue

5 New Mexico
12 Arizona

4 Georgetown
13 Xavier vs Miami (FL)

6 Murray State
11 Long Beach State

3 Baylor
14 Nevada

7 Virginia
10 Cincinnati

2 Ohio State
15 Davidson


West (#4 Overall)

1 Duke
16 Texas-Arlington

8 California
9 St. Louis

5 Notre Dame
12 Texas

4 UNLV
13 Oral Roberts

6 Indiana
11 West Virginia

3 Florida
14 Iona

7 Gonzaga
10 Connecticut

2 Kansas
15 Weber State


East (#2 Overall)

1 Syracuse
16 Long Island

8 Iowa State
9 Memphis

5 Wisconsin
12 Middle Tennessee

4 Temple
13 Mississippi State vs Colorado State

6 Louisville
11 Alabama

3 Michigan
14 Akron

7 Creighton
10 Brigham Young

2 North Carolina
15 Bucknell


Midwest (#3 Overall)

1 Michigan State
16 Stony Brook vs Savannah State

8 San Diego State
9 Harvard

5 Wichita State
12 Seton Hall

4 Florida State
13 Drexel

6 St. Mary's
11 Washington

3 Marquette
14 Belmont

7 Vanderbilt
10 Southern Miss

2 Missouri
15 Valparaiso

Sunday, February 19, 2012

Projections for 2/20/12

First Four Out:  NC State, VCU, South Florida, Central Florida

Next Four Out:  Oregon, Colorado State, Minnesota, Colorado


South (#1 Overall)

1 Kentucky
16 UNC Asheville vs Mississippi Valley State

8 Iowa State
9 Southern Miss

5 Indiana
12 Long Beach State

4 Florida State
13 Xavier vs Arizona

6 Wichita State
11 Mississippi State

3 Georgetown
14 Drexel

7 St. Mary's
10 West Virginia

2 Ohio State
15 Davidson


West (#4 Overall)

1 Michigan State
16 Texas-Arlington

8 California
9 Kansas State

5 Louisville
12 Texas

4 New Mexico
13 Middle Tennessee

6 Creighton
11 Miami (FL)

3 Marquette
14 Akron

7 Vanderbilt
10 Brigham Young

2 Kansas
15 Weber State


East (#2 Overall)

1 Syracuse
16 Long Island

8 St. Louis
9 Purdue

5 UNLV
12 Alabama vs Northwestern

4 Baylor
13 Oral Roberts

6 Murray State
11 Cincinnati

3 Michigan
14 Nevada

7 Gonzaga
10 Connecticut

2 North Carolina
15 Valparaiso


Midwest (#3 Overall)

1 Missouri
16 Vermont vs Savannah State

8 Virginia
9 Harvard

5 Temple
12 Seton Hall

4 Wisconsin
13 Iona

6 Notre Dame
11 Washington

3 Florida
14 Belmont

7 San Diego State
10 Memphis

2 Duke
15 Bucknell

Thursday, February 16, 2012

February 16 Bubble Update

Locks (27 teams comprising 18 at-large bids)

North Carolina, Duke, Florida State, Syracuse, Georgetown, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Indiana, Michigan, Kansas, Missouri, Baylor, Kentucky, Florida, Vanderbilt, Temple, San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Gonzaga, St. Mary's, Creighton, Wichita State


Should Be In, but Still Some Work to Do (11 teams comprising 8 at-large bids)

Virginia, Connecticut, Purdue, Iowa State, Texas, California, Mississippi State, St. Louis, Murray State, Southern Miss, Memphis


Projected Auto-bid Winners That Would be on the At-Large Bubble

Long Beach State, Middle Tennessee, Harvard, Oral Roberts, Nevada, Iona


Bubble (14 teams for 11 bids)

NC State, Miami (FL), Cincinnati, West Virginia, Seton Hall, Illinois, Minnesota, Northwestern, Kansas State, Arizona, Washington, Alabama, Xavier, Brigham Young


Teams on the Outside that Could Move Into the Field

South Florida, Pittsburgh, Oregon, Colorado, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Tennessee, LSU, Massachusetts, Dayton, St. Joseph's, Wyoming, Colorado State, Central Florida, VCU, Drexel

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Projections for 2/12/12

Unfortunately, I have to go out of town tomorrow, so I am posting my projections a day early.

A few notes on the bracket:

With the recent suspensions, Alabama is once again the biggest enigma of the season.  Until the players are re-inserted into the lineup I have to project the Tide as if they are playing the rest of the regular season without them.

Miami was an 11 and Seton Hall a 12 on my s-curve, but I swapped their seeds for bracketing purposes.

As always, this is a projection of what the bracket will be on Selection Sunday, not what it would be as of today.  Every team's future schedule has been taken into account.

First Four Out:  Alabama, Washington, Minnesota, Colorado State

Next Four Out:  Oregon, Arkansas, Massachusetts, South Florida


Midwest (#1 Overall)

1 Kentucky
16 Long Island vs Mississippi Valley State

8 Murray State
9 California

5 Temple
12 Miami (FL)

4 Marquette
13 Northwestern vs Xavier

6 Wichita State
11 Harvard

3 Baylor
14 Davidson

7 Florida State
10 West Virginia

2 Michigan State
15 Weber State


West (#4 Overall)

1 Ohio State
16 Texas-Arlington

8 Iowa State
9 Connecticut

5 Michigan
12 Arizona

4 Louisville
13 Middle Tennessee

6 Gonzaga
11 Seton Hall

3 UNLV
14 Akron

7 Mississippi State
10 Texas

2 Duke
15 Valparaiso


East (#2 Overall)

1 Syracuse
16 UNC Asheville

8 Vanderbilt
9 Memphis

5 Virginia
12 Long Beach State

4 San Diego State
13 Oral Roberts

6 Notre Dame
11 Brigham Young

3 Wisconsin
14 Nevada

7 Creighton
10 Illinois

2 Kansas
15 Loyola-Maryland


South (#3 Overall)

1 Missouri
16 Norfolk State vs Stony Brook

8 Southern Miss
9 St. Louis

5 St. Mary's
12 Cincinnati vs NC State

4 Indiana
13 VCU

6 Florida
11 Kansas State

3 Georgetown
14 Belmont

7 New Mexico
10 Purdue

2 North Carolina
15 Bucknell

Monday, February 6, 2012

Projections for 2/6/12

First Four Out:  Minnesota, Colorado State, Seton Hall, Miami (FL)

Next Four Out:  Arkansas, Wyoming, Marshall, Pittsburgh


Midwest (#1 overall)

1 Kentucky
16 Long Island vs Mississippi Valley State

8 Illinois
9 Wichita State

5 St. Mary's
12 Cincinnati

4 Michigan
13 Middle Tennessee

6 Florida State
11 Memphis

3 Kansas
14 Oral Roberts

7 Temple
10 Washington

2 Georgetown
15 Davidson


West (#4 Overall)

1 Missouri
16 Norfolk State vs Stony Brook

8 Connecticut
9 Alabama

5 Indiana
12 Long Beach State

4 San Diego State
13 Cleveland State

6 Louisville
11 California

3 Michigan State
14 VCU

7 Kansas State
10 St. Louis

2 North Carolina
15 Bucknell


East (#2 Overall)

1 Syracuse
16 UNC Asheville

8 Southern Miss
9 New Mexico

5 Creighton
12 NC State

4 Wisconsin
13 Arizona vs Brigham Young

6 Murray State
11 Texas

3 Florida
14 Nevada

7 West Virginia
10 Harvard

2 Duke
15 Weber State


South (#3 Overall)

1 Ohio State
16 Texas-Arlington

8 Vanderbilt
9 Iowa State

5 Virginia
12 Northwestern vs Xavier

4 Marquette
13 Iona

6 Mississippi State
11 Purdue

3 UNLV
14 Akron

7 Gonzaga
10 Notre Dame

2 Baylor
15 Belmont